Lil Baby leads the current forecast, although his projected opening trails “WHAM” and “It’s Only Me.”
Lil Baby could be heading back to the Billboard 200’s top spot. HITS Daily Double projects FRESH to open with 64,000 album-equivalent units, positioning it for a No. 1 debut. Approximately 2,000 of those units are expected to come from pure album sales.
A chart-topping arrival would mark Baby’s fifth No. 1 album. His previous No. 1 albums are My Turn, The Voice of the Heroes with Lil Durk, It’s Only Me, and WHAM. However, 64,000 would represent a smaller opening than WHAM’s 140,000 units and It’s Only Me’s 216,000.
Released November 6, the 17-track FRESH features Future, Young Thug, and Rylo Rodriguez. Its tracklist includes “Dead Fresh,” “From The Back,” “All Us,” and “In Your Head.”
My review landed somewhere between appreciating Baby’s ability and wishing he did more with it. Pharrell’s work on “Dead Fresh” brought out personality I wanted across the project, while “From The Back” sounded like a hit. Still, too much felt familiar.
The projected crown is encouraging; the creative comfort zone remains my concern.
Quincy is the creator of Ratings Game Music. He loves writing about music, taking long walks on beaches, and spaghetti that fights him back.
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